New England’s offense has drastically changed since the Tom Brady era. Currently, they rank second-to-last in the NFL, scoring just 14.1 points per game. In their recent game against Indianapolis, they suffered an ugly 10-6 loss at home, which fell short of the expected score by 26 points. The Patriots are 7-2 UNDER the total in their last nine and 19-7 UNDER on the road as favorites. They also tend to go UNDER the total after scoring 14 or fewer points in their previous game (17-4 UNDER). New England is 36-17 UNDER after a loss and 6-0 UNDER as a road favorite of 3 points or less. New England QB Mac Jones has five interceptions and the same number of TD passes in his last six games. Backup Bailey Zappe also threw a crucial pick against the Colts and doesn’t inspire fear in opposing defenses. The Giants pulled off a surprising 31-19 victory against Washington. Despite facing nine sacks, NY third-stringer Tommy DeVito managed to throw for 246 yards and three touchdowns. But the real story is that the Giants benefited from three lost fumbles by the Commanders. Under Bill Belichick, the Pats are 63-48 UNDER following a loss, and Brian Daboll in NY is 16-7 to the UNDER as an underdog, and 8-1 UNDER in non-conference games. Take the Patriots and Giants UNDER the total - Max Play.
This pick was released to clients on November 24, 2023 at 10:54AM ET.
NFL
New England at New York
November 26, 2023
1:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 34 -109 (risk 2 to return 3.83)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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