This pick was released to clients on October 27, 2023 at 10:59AM ET.
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New England at Miami

October 29, 2023
img1:02 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

New England finally broke through and got a win snapping a three-game skid when Mac Jones threw a 1-yard TD pass to tight end Mike Gesicki with 12 seconds left to upset Buffalo 29-25. Jones threw for 272 yards and two TDs and Bill Belichick got his 300th win. Now the Patriots will be out to avenge a 24-17 loss to Miami on Sept. 17 and the Dolphins come off a 31-17 loss at Philadelphia while being outgained 355-244. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 216 yards and threw a costly interception near the goal line in the fourth quarter and returned 16 yards by Darius Slay and the game stayed UNDER. New England had gone UNDER five straight before Sunday's game and the Patriots are 26-10 UNDER their past 36 games playing on real grass. Miami has stayed UNDER 13 of 19 as a home favorite and eight of 11 at home overall. The Dolphins are 3-9-1 ATS their past 13 October games and New England's defense surprisingly is No. 9 in the league in total yards allowed. New England may have finally fixed its offensive woes and the anticipation of getting Belichick's 300th win is over. Take the Patriots and the UNDER.

1 unit on New England +10 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 47 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New England Patriots
7
0
3
7
17
Miami Dolphins img
7
10
7
7
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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