New England at Miami

New England has covered the spread three of four, including two outright wins against the New York Jets and Chicago, and the defense has been underrated. The Patriots have allowed only 18.3 points in their past four games, and rookie QB Drake Maye threw for 282 yards and two TDs against the Los Angeles Rams last week, when the Patriots narrowly lost 28-22. Six of the past nine meetings with Miami have stayed UNDER, and the Dolphins are 10-5 UNDER in their past games overall. The Dolphins have covered one of five home games this season and are 4-9 ATS their past 13 overall. Miami barely won the first meeting 15-10 on Oct. 6, and it went UNDER by 12 points, and the posted total for this game is nine points higher. New England running back Rhamondre Stevenson will take advantage of Miami's run defense, which is #23 in the NFL. Take the Patriots and the UNDER.