New England at Miami

The Dolphins may wish they had Chad Henne back after seeing him revitalize the Jaguars. Despite Ryan Tannehill playing above early expectations, this team has scored 21 or points less in eight of their eleven games. They manage however, to stay in games because they have allowed 23 points or less in all but one game, and 19 points per game on average since their opener. The Patriots are on an unsustainable offensive pace, having scored 190 points in their last four games - something that has never been done in the NFL. But let's not forget that in those four games, New England opponents turned the ball over 14 times! Pretty much all bets are on New England and as soon as something appears to be a sure thing in the NFL, surprises often happen. Take for example the Denver game last week against Kansas City, where the red-hot Denver offense scored just 17 against a 1-10 team as disinterest set in. The Dolphins have gone 18-7-1 to the UNDER in their last 26 overall, including five straight vs. the AFC. Since last season, the Dolphins are also 11-3 to the UNDER vs. defense that allow over 5.6 yards per play. Barring a ton of turnovers by Miami, this one should stay UNDER the total.