New England at Las Vegas

New England has a winning record for the season as well as on the road. What's clear about this offense is that they struggle against decent defenses but roll it up on suspect defenses. That's because young QB Mac Jones is very accurate as a passer and decision-maker while the coaching staff is great while exploiting mismatches. The Patriots just ended their two-game skid with a 27-13 win against an Arizona defense that is 20th in yards allowed, 27th on third down, 29th in passing yards allowed (254.5 pg), and dead-last (26.8 ppg) in points given up. Now they face a Las Vegas defense that is 24th in yards surrendered, 23rd in points allowed, and 26th on third down. The Patriots are 64-49 ATS when the line is +3 to -3, plus 52-40 ATS in December games. New England has the far better defense ranked sixth in yards allowed, fifth in points, and Top 10 versus the pass. The Patriots are 72-48 ATS against defenses that allow 350+ yards per game, plus 55-30 ATS against offenses that average 6+ yards per play. Play New England.