New England at Cleveland

The New England Patriots needed to show up in Detroit last week or fall to 1-4 and see their season go on life support. They delivered their best game of the year with a resounding 29-0 win. They are now 2-3 on the season, as they head to Cleveland to take on the Browns who are also 2-3. Cleveland has played 4 of their 5 games that have been decided by 3 points or fewer. The ugly side of that is that 3 of those 4 have been losses. They went a bit downhill last week as they were out-gained for the first time all season. These teams look even, but the Pats are part of a very strong situation. NFL teams that won by shutting out their last opponent and in doing so allowed fewer than 100 yards or more than 300 yards are 20-1 ATS in their next game providing they are playing to a line of -10 or fewer points, and are 5-0 ATS as a road dog in this situation and have won 4 of the 5 straight up. Make the play on New England.