Everyone's on this game because it was the Super Bowl matchup. Most everyone's picking Carolina to exact revenge. I'm not so sure who will win but I am sure that they'll score more than 37 combined points. There are a boatload of trends that point to an over in this one. Here are a few: Undefeated home teams off two straight wins in the preseason go over 80% of the time. Road teams that scored under a touchdown last game go over 77% of the time. And, the same trend that got us the OVER win last week with Dallas that involves road dogs off poor performances applies again here. This trend is now 13-1 since 1990. Two units on the over in this game.
New Orleans head coach Jim Haslett doesn't win a lot of preseason games. He uses the preseason for other reasons. He's won one already so I expect him to take it easy this week. New Bears coach Lovie Smith on the other hand, is showing us he does want to win right away. The Bears are 2-0 and home teams with a 75%+ preseason record coming off a win cover the spread about 70% of the time in their next game. One unit on Chicago to keep the dream alive.