This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2015 at 5:55PM ET.
img NFL

New England at Buffalo

September 20, 2015
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Everyone is pointing at the Buffalo Bills to have a big season. They opened with a win, and now take on New England. Many will look at the last game between these teams, which resulted in a 17-9 Buffalo win, but let's not forget something. Tom Brady did not play in that game and Tyrod Taylor did not face the master, Bill Belichick. The reality is that the Patriots, not counting that game without Brady, are 21-1 SU against Buffalo, so have the Bills really come that far? They have lost by an average of better than 15 points a game, and the solo Bills win was by 3 points. Buffalo is off a big game, spending a lot of energy and were sky high vs. Indy in a 27-14 statement win. So how much is left in the tank? NFL teams tend to have trouble playing two in a row with extreme energy and that is what it will take to be competitive vs. New England. New England has been a machine when they have the offense going as the Pats are 72-33-2 ATS in their last 107 after gaining more than 350 yards in their last game. The Bills are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 following a win, and the Pats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 trips here. Play on New England.

1 unit on New England +1 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New England Patriots img
40
Buffalo Bills
32
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 409,392 Subscribers!