New England at Buffalo

Last place New England has surprised winning two of three. However, the positive vibes end here. The Patriots have holes all over the place. The offense is 28th in total yards, 30th on third down (31.31%), and last in points (14.1 per game). New England's offensive line is poor averaging just 3.9 yards per rush and their two QBs have combined for as many TDs (16) as interceptions. The Patriots are 5-14 ATS as an underdog. After facing the Chiefs, Cowboys, and Chargers (two on the road) and winning all three, the Bills are home trying to clinch a playoff berth. Buffalo is fourth in total yards, sixth in points scored (26.9 per game), and No. 1 on third down (49.21%), while the defense is Top 10 in yards allowed and fourth in points given up (18.4 per game). The Bills are 44-18 ATS after a win by 3 points or less and have beaten New England the last two years on this field, 35-23 and 47-17. Lay the points with Buffalo.