Minnesota at Miami

Minnesota plays only its second true road game. The first didn't go well offensively in a 24-7 loss at Philadelphia. 34-year-old QB Kirk Cousins (7 TDs, 5 INTs) hasn't been as sharp as the last two seasons when he threw 35 and 33 TDs. They face a Miami offense that has all kinds of problems as QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) is still out and backup Teddy Bridgewater also has a concussion after getting knocked out of Sunday's loss to the Jets. Rookie third-string QB Skylar Thompson will make his first NFL start. The Dolphins are 55-35 UNDER the total at home versus winning teams, plus 15-5 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite. Miami's defense has been great at home with a 20-7 win over New England and a 21-19 victory over Buffalo. Those games went UNDER the total by 19 and 15 points. In addition, NFL teams like the Dolphins off of an upset loss by 10+ points as a road favorite are 72-29 UNDER the total, while home teams like Miami off a loss by 21+ points to a division rival are 43-16 UNDER the total in the next game. Take Minnesota/Miami UNDER the total.