Minnesota at Los Angeles

Minnesota is well-coached under Mike Zimmer, off a 34-31 OT loss at Baltimore as a 7-point dog. They're never out of any game with this offense as they are ninth in the NFL in total yards and have a balanced attack behind QB Kirk Cousins (16 TDs, 2 INTs) and RB Dalvin Cook. The Vikings are 41-18 ATS after a loss, 21-9 ATS after a road loss, and 7-3 ATS as an underdog. They'll have success rushing the football against Los Angeles, who is saddled with the worst run defense in the NFL while getting gouged for 161.6 yards per game. That's one reason the Chargers are #29 defensively on third down (47.42%). The Chargers are 24-42 ATS at home against teams that average 235+ yards passing, as well as 2-11 ATS after gaining 400+ yards in their last game. Play Minnesota.