Minnesota at Buffalo

The public is believing in the Bills as they are all over Buffalo here, moving the line. Their win over Chicago in their opener and then 19 point win over Miami in week two drew attention. But, what seems to be missed is the fact that since then, Buffalo is just 1-3 straight-up and ATS. Over that span theyh are averaging just 16.5 points per game. Their only win was against a hobbled Detroit team two weeks ago. Teddy Bridgewater had a successful debut as Vikings quarterback, but last week was not the same. The rookie signal caller was sacked eight times, and under pressure all game, which led to three INTs. But, that was against the league's #1 defense. While Buffalo has been better than average on the defensive side, I look for Minnesota to make some adjustments to their pass protection and find more success. The knee-jerk reaction to Minnesota's struggles last week was to inflate the line, so I think there is value on Minnesota. Kyle Orton was OK last week, but he was responsible for a pair of turnovers as he has a habit of holding onto the ball too long. The Vikings have a good defense, and they are able to get pressure, and that is not a good thing with Orton in the pocket. The Bills have to be disappointed as they had the Pat's game last week circled as a measuring stick game, and they were beaten badly. It will be tough for them to manifest full energy in an inter-conference game vs. a team with a bad record, that isn't as bad as they were made to look a week ago. Because of the failure of Minnesota and Teddy Bridgewater last week vs. an elite defense, bettors are lining up heavily on the Bills. Don't be surprised if the Vikings surprise this week. The Bills have folded in their last eight after suffering a double-digit loss at home where they have taken the donut at 0-8 ATS. Grab the points and play on Minnesota.