Minnesota at Atlanta

First-place Minnesota has another powerhouse defensive team, fifth in the NFL in yards allowed, second against the run and fifth in points surrendered (17.7 points per game). Minnesota is 8-3 against the spread this season, the second-best mark in the NFL. The Vikings are on a 39-15 ATS run, including 35-17 ATS against the NFC. Quarterback Case Keenum (14 TDs, five picks) has piloted an offense that's in the top 10 in both points scored (24.6 ppg) and total offense (375.7 yards per game). He's accounted for 10 TDs over the last four games. In his past three road starts, he has 874 yards passing, eight touchdowns and three interceptions for a 108 rating. Minnesota also brings its great defense against top teams at 19-7 UNDER the total versus opponents with a winning record. They match up well with an Atlanta defense that is #20 against the run. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The Vikings lead the series all-time, 17-10, and have won the last two -- with Mike Zimmer coaching both of those. The UNDER is on a 5-1 run when these teams clash, as well as 5-1 UNDER in this building, so grab the talented and balanced first-place dog in a defensive battle. Take Minnesota and the UNDER.