Miami at Pittsburgh

Miami beat the Steelers earlier in the year but that was at home in a game in which Ben Roethlisberger twisted his knee. That game was also in the mid-season South Beach sun. Now the Dolphins head north to frigid Pittsburgh, with QB questions. Miami is likely gion with a backup QB and the Fin's defense is pretty bad, allowing opposing offenses to rack up over 400 yards per game on the road. The Miami linebackers can't cover and the secondary is porous. That's a bad mix against a talented and balanced Pittsburgh offense with a wealth of playoff experience. The Dolphins are 3-7 ATS against teams with winning marks, plus 6-21 ATS after allowing 250+ yards passing in their previous game. Miami is also 7-1 UNDER the total in playoff games. Miami will look for ball control to take the pressure of the QB, but the Steelers defense is solid up front at #13 against the run. Pittsburgh is on a 14-6 run UNDER the total, including 20-8-1 UNDER against the AFC. Under Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite in this range (7.5 to 10 points). The Steelers have rabid fans and this is their third consecutive home game. Play the Steelers and the UNDER.