Miami at Philadelphia

Miami has plenty of talent on both sides of the line and is a dog to a .500 Philadelphia squad. They've simplified the offense since the coaching change was made and QB Ryan Tannehill has benefited. The offense looked dominant during consecutive wins of 38-10 at Tennessee on Oct. 18 and 44-26 at home over Houston on Oct. 25 in interim coach Dan Campbell's first two games. But Miami has allowed 36 and 33 point the last two games, part of an 8-3 run OVER the total. The Eagles are averaging 438.8 total yards and 28.8 points in their last four games but are banged up as wide receiver Nelson Agholor (ankle) and linebacker DeMeco Ryans (hamstring) are ailing and left tackle Jason Peters (back) says he is 50-50. They come off a win over an anemic Dallas offense, but just barely, 33-27. The offense had 459 yards while the defense allowed 411. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS on grass and 5-15-1 ATS after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Eagles are also 16-5 OVER the total against a team with a losing record. Take the points on Miami and also play the OVER.