Miami at New Orleans

Neither team is likely to field starers very long in this game. New Orleans is the more solid team, playing at home. And, they are now getting points in this one. What started as a big opening line with New Orleans favored by 4.5 points, has moved to a home dog situation. Home dogs in the NFL preseason are potent, especially so outside of week three. Miami is coming off a 24-0 rout of Kansas City. That follows a win the week prior over Jacksonville. We think this translates to a bit of complacency as both the offense and defense know they really don't have a whole lot to prove here. New Orleans also posted a shutout, but they scored just 13 points, and they lost the week prior. We believe the Saints will be a bit more motivated here. That, combined with home field advantage tells us we have a live dog here.