This pick was released to clients on October 04, 2024 at 9:46AM ET.
img NFL

Miami at New England

October 6, 2024
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

These AFC East rivals have sputtering offenses. Miami has far more skill position talent on offense for backup QB Skylar Thompson. The defense is fifth in the NFL in yards allowed, 11th in yards rushing per attempt, and No. 1 on third down (23.81%). They're 3-1 UNDER the total, part of a 7-2 run UNDER. The Dolphins have won six of the last seven meetings against New England. The plodding Patriots' offense is last in yards and points (13 ppg) with QB Jacoby Brissett and RB Rhamondre Stevenson (4.1 yards per carry). They're last in passing and 24th on third down (32.76%). The defense is 24th in yards allowed, though seventh in yards rushing per attempt, on a 12-8 run UNDER the total. The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in its last five games at home against the Dolphins. Play Miami + UNDER the total. 

1 unit on Miami +1 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 36.5 -109 (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Dolphins img
3
0
6
6
15
New England Patriots
7
0
3
0
10
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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