"Miami is 0-10 in cold weather games." Yeah yeah. That's too small a sample size, and includes games with completely different rosters adn coaches. These teams met once this season on Nov. 5 and Kansas City was fortunate to come away with a 21-14 win that included a Bryan Cook fumble return for a touchdown late in the first half and it proved to be the difference in the game. Miami almost came back from a 21-0 halftime deficit and had the ball at the Kansas City 31 with a little more than two minutes left, but a bad snap on fourth down sealed the game for the Chiefs. Kansas City has split its past 10 games while averaging only 19.3 points in that span and Pat Mahomes is not looking nearly as well as his 2022 championship year and has appeared to be hesitant about throwing downfield due to numerous interceptions and dropped passes. The Dolphins recovered from a 56-19 blowout against Baltimore and had a 14-7 halftime lead over Buffalo, but some key injuries and a 96-yard punt return by Deonte Hardy were too much to overcome and they lost 21-14 on Sunday night. However, Miami hopes to get running back Raheem Mostert back after he missed the past two games and wide receivers Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill are probable. The Dolphins are 12-4 OVER their past 14 road games and 7-2 OVER overall as underdogs. Miami leads the NFL in total yards and it is No. 2 in scoring with 29.2 points per game. The Dolphins are No. 1 in passing yardage and No. 6 in rushing yardage. Take the Dolphins on the moneyline and the OVER.
This pick was released to clients on January 12, 2024 at 10:18AM ET.
NFL
Miami at Kansas City
January 13, 2024
8:10 PM Eastern
1 unit on Miami +200 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 43 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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