Miami at Indianapolis

The Indianapolis Colts got the elephant off their back last week in Tennessee, as they won on the road for the first time in 11 tries. It certainly didn't come easy, as they needed overtime to secure the victory and end the 10-game slide. The Colts are getting better, but their margin for error is razor thin. They have now recorded four wins on the season, but by 3, 3, and 4 points with last week's overtime win. They have also been blown out by 20+ points twice. Over their last sixteen games, the Dolphins are a 10-6 teams (can you say playoffs-worthy?). Only the high-powered Houston Texans have been able to put up mpore than 24 points against the Dolphins this season. This team went through a streak last season where their defense came together and allowed 20 points total over a three-game stretch. We are seeing that defense working its way back on the field this year. The last three Dolphins opponents have scored just 36 points. As a result, this team is well under the radar, as they have won four of their last six. They could be 6-0 in their last six as both losses were tough overtime defeats. The Dolphins have really stepped it up on the road where they are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning home record. They have also been spotless here in their last six trips, as they are 6-0 ATS. And, dating back to last season, Miami is 8-1 ATS vs. poor defenses (those that allow 350+ yards per game). Take the Dolphins here.