Miami at Detroit

The Detroit Lions have turned things around, at least on the defensive side of the ball. The problem remains the offense. They will get a lift with Calvin Johnson back in the lineup. Buyt, it might take some time to get timing down for him and Stafford to connect, especially vs. a Miami defense that has been stout all season. There is a bigger problem for Detroit here though. Stafford has been sacked 24 times this season, and 14 of them have come in the last four games. His offensive line has been utterly bad, and without much of a running game, Miami is going to be putting a lot of heat on him. The Lions' defense will be without a very key player in Nick Fairley, who is out with a knee injury. Miami is not only playing very well right now, they have been one of the best road dogs in the NFL, compiling a sterling 18-3 ATS mark in their last 21 on the road as a dog of less than 5 points. The Dolphins have quietly put up 26.4 points per game this season while holding opponents to just 18.9 per game. Those are elite numbers that remain under the radar. In the Matt Stafford era, the Lions are 17-24 ATS as a favorite They certainly have a chance to win this one, and appear to have it all going, and are the better team. Play on Miami.