Miami at Denver

The oddsmaker keeps overvaluing Denver, even though it is only 3-6 while losing three of its last four games and allowing an average of 36 points in those games. Drew Lock threw four interceptions in the 37-12 loss at Las Vegas while completing only 23 of 47 for 257 yards. Meanwhile, Brian Flores continues to do a terrific job at Miami as his team has won and covered five in a row following its 29-21 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers. Tua Tagovailoa passed for 169 yards and two scores and now is 3-0 in his three starts since taking over for Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Salvon Ahmed made his first career start and ran for 85 yards on 21 carries for the Dolphins. Miami is averaging only 318.1 total yards per game, but it's taking advantage of its possessions and averaging 27.9 points. The Broncos are #26 in total offense yards, and the defense is having trouble staying off the field. The Dolphins are on a 16-5 ATS run, and they have covered four of their last five road contests. These teams are going in different directions. Play the Dolphins.