This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2023 at 10:25AM ET.
img NFL

Miami at Buffalo

January 3, 2021
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami needs to win to gain a Wild Card berth and that would be a tremendous accomplishment considering where this team was just a year ago. Buffalo already has won the division and would get the No. 2 seed behind Kansas City by beating the Dolphins. The forecast calls for some rain and possibly snow, which won't be fun for the offenses, and Bills coach Sean McDermott hasn't said much about whether QB Josh Allen or most of the rest of the starters will play. Either way, Miami has the clear motivational edge and the Dolphins will be able to continue the momentum from last week's miraculous win in Las Vegas. Miami is 11-4 ATS this season while winning and covering four of its last five games, and the Dolphins are 20-7 ATS their last 27 games overall and 8-2 ATS versus the AFC. The Bills are 3-8 ATS their last 11 January games and 1-4-1 ATS their last six against AFC East teams. Miami has gone UNDER four of its last six games, and Buffalo has stayed UNDER five straight after winning by at least 14 points. Play the Dolphins and the UNDER.

1 unit on Miami +3 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 44.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Dolphins
3
3
7
13
26
Buffalo Bills img
0
28
7
21
56
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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