Miami has suddenly won two impressive games in a row, including 27-20 over the Patriots on Monday night as Jay Cutler finished 25-of-38 for 268 yards with no interceptions. The Dolphins also rushed for 120 yards and held New England to 2.5 yards per carry. Buffalo beat Indianapolis in overtime in a snow-filled contest, but the Bills have lost four of their last six and have big question marks at quarterback where Tyrod Taylor has been injured and Nathan Peterman completed just 5-of-10 passes for 57 yards and a touchdown against the Colts. Taylor is day-to-day with a left knee injury, but the Bills hadn't been playing too well even when he was playing. Buffalo is 1-6 ATS its last seven games against the AFC East and the Dolphins are 11-2 ATS their last 13 games after allowing fewer than 250 total yards their previous game. The Miami defense obviously is gaining confidence and the Bills are 8-19 ATS their last 27 games after giving up fewer than 15 points their previous game. Miami has won and covered the last two meetings. Take the points and play the Dolphins. Also take the UNDER. Miami has averaged just 11.9 points per game on the road this season, and their defense has stepped up of late, allowing just 29 total points in their last two games. The Bills have averaged just 18.5 per game on the season and their last three games have seen them score 16, 3 and 13 points. Over their last five games, this team has topped 16 points just once! Their defense has allowed just 13.3 points per game over the last three. Go with the Fins and the UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on December 15, 2023 at 2:04PM ET.
NFL
Miami at Buffalo
December 17, 2017
1:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Miami +3.5 (-122) (risk 1 to return 1.82)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 39 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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