Miami at Atlanta

The Miami Dolphins looked like a team that was turning the corner a year ago, but when Ryan Tannehill went down things changed. They brought in Jay Cutler, but he has not had time to take to the new offense. The targets he has to throw to and his yards per attempt have been two yards worse than his career average thus far this season. That is going to change as he is not as bad as the numbers we have seen so far. Atlanta has the best offense in the NFL, and the passing attack behind Matt Ryan is elite. I would expect the Falcons to have it their own way on offense in this game. With a big lead, I also expect Cutler to abandon any running game early to put the ball in the air, extending the clock. Poor offenses often play OVER as an NFL team that averages 4.8 yards or fewer per play are 40-15 to the OVER the last five years. Atlanta is now 18-4 to the OVER in their last 22 games, and always seems to get into high-scoring games. Make the play on the OVER.