This pick was released to clients on November 28, 2018 at 11:25PM ET.
img NFL

Los Angeles at Pittsburgh

December 2, 2018
img8:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers have won seven of their last eight games (5-3 ATS) and bounced back from a turnover-filled loss to Denver with a dominating 45-10 win over Arizona. Philip Rivers completed his first 25 passes and was 28-of-29 for 259 yards and three touchdowns in only three quarters. Meanwhile, Ben Roethlisberger uncharacteristically threw an interception in the end zone that sealed the victory for Denver on Sunday.  Big Ben was 41-of-56 for 462 yards with two interceptions and Pittsburgh rushed only 16 times for 75 yards. The Steelers are #6 in the league in yards allowed (325.1 per game) while allowing 22.6 points, but the Chargers are no worse, allowing 334.8 yards and just 19.9 points per game. The Chargers are 5-2 ATS their last seven road contests and the Steelers are 3-7 ATS their last 10 home games and Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS its last six December games. Los Angeles has gone UNDER four of its last five games overall and the Chargers are 21-6-1 UNDER their last 28 December games. Also, the UNDER is 35-16-1 in the Chargers' last 52 games after a win dating to previous seasons and they have stayed UNDER eight of their last 11 road games. Play the Chargers and the UNDER.

1 unit on Los Angeles +3.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 52 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Chargers img
7
0
8
18
33
Pittsburgh Steelers
13
10
0
7
30
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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