New York's secondary has been picked apart for 38 points per game over their last three games and suddenly a team that looked like a Super Bowl contender has slipped to third in their own division. Despite the recent lapses, the Giants remain one of the top defensive teams in the league. Regardless what has happened recently, this Giants defense is still a league-best 31% conversion rate on third downs by their opponents. I would expect them to come out focused and angry for this one. They have a bye coming after this and simply can't afford another poor game going into the two week break. The Chargers’ running game has been grounded all season as Sproles and Tomlinson are finding no room to operate. San Diego is not the explosive team they once were as they have become a one-dimensional team and that should help the Giants defense. What has changed for the Chargers is that the defense is much better and currently ranks No. 12 in the league. Their biggest weakness is their rush defense so expect alot of Jacobs and Bradshaw which will eat up clock. And, the Giants have gone UNDER the total 67% of the time in their last 46 games vs. teams that allow 130+ rushing yards per game. In addition, the G-Men under Tom Coughlin are 26-16 UNDER following a game that went OVER. How good have the Giants been after getting burned bad defensively? They have come back in their next game after allowing 30+ to play 10-1-1 to the UNDER! That includes their recent debacle vs. New Orleans. Under Coughlin, they are 9-1 UNDER at home after a game in which they were torched for 175+ yards on the ground. In other words, Coughlin will have this defense ready to go. I like this one to go UNDER the total as the oddsmakers are reacting the way the public will see this one and this is set too high.
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