Los Angeles at Miami

The San Diego Chargers have lost two straight games, and the fact that the Dolphins have won two straight has certainly influenced the line in this one. Let's not forget that prior to week seven, the Chargers had won five straight games and owned the best record in the AFC. The Dolphins went to Jacksonville last week, and their mediocre offense managed just 13 points as they needed a pair of pick-6s to get the win over a 1-7 Jacksonville team. The infamous playoff win by the Chargers in 1982, a 41-38 overtime shootout, was the last time they won in Miami. You know they have been reading about that, and will come in here loaded for bear - especially off of two straight defeats. San Diego had an improbable task in their last game, heading to Denver on just three days rest. But they are well rested now, so I look for a big game from Phillip Rivers and the Bolts. November road teams off a road dog loss that are not on short rest are an amazing 67-20 ATS in the last 87 occurrences, and San Diego fits into that situation this week. These dogs have won straight-up over 58% of the time. Rivers is having a banner season so far with a 110 QB rating. Aaron Rodgers another pretty good QB directed his team to a win here vs. the Dolphins with 27 points, mostly done in the air. On the season, the Chargers are averaging 25.6 points per game (27.7 on grass) while Miami is averaging 24.9 per game (27.3 on grass). The Chargers have gone OVER the total in four straight games after a loss as well as 5-2 in their last seven over the total after allowing 30+ in their previous game. Take San Diego and the OVER in this one.