Los Angeles at Kansas City

The Chiefs have a conservative, ball-control offense without their best offensive players (Jamaal Charles). Yet, they are a huge favorite this game. Kansas City is #23 in the NFL in total yards. Even winning 34-20 at Oakland last week, the Chiefs had just 232 total yards in a game that they trailed 20-14 in the fourth. The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS after netting fewer than 250 total yards in their previous game. They are also a defensive-first team on a 29-14 run UNDER the total at home, as well as 16-5 UNDER at home against a team with a losing road record. They face a San Diego squad with an ace QB in Philip Rivers and the #6 passing attack in the NFL. The Chargers are 8-1 ATS following a double-digit loss at home, plus 10-3 ATS away against a team with a winning home record. San Diego is also 23-10 UNDER the total against the AFC and a perfect 6-0 UNDER against a winning team. The road team is 4-1 ATS when these AFC West rivals clash and the weather will be rainy and windy, so grab the big dog in a defensive duel. Take San Diego and the UNDER.