Los Angeles at Jacksonville

The Jaguars were the largest underdog in the history of the NFL last week. They hung in there to get the cover, losing to Denver 35-19. The bad news is they gave up 35 to an uninspired Denver team that just wanted to get in and out. The Jags are now allowing 33 points per game on the season and it's getting progressively worse. In their first two games they gave up 28 to Kansas City and 19 to lowly Oakland. Since then, the Jags have allowed 45, 37, 34 and 35 (37.8 per game). The Chargers are capable of putting up that many here. San Diego scored 28 against Houston's great defense in their opener. They put up 33 vs. Philly and 30 against Dallas. Phillip Rivers remains the second best quarterback this season in terms of numbers, behind only Peyton Manning. He's already thrown for over 1500 yards with 13 touchdowns while taking care of the ball for the most part. This is an important game for the Bolts who end this week at either 4-3 or 3-4. Jacksonville's offense is slowly improving, especially with the return of Justin Blackmon. After averaging just 7.8 points per game in their first five games, Jacksonville has averaged 19.5 per game since his return. With San Diego likely to score in the 30s here, we don't need a lot from Jacksonville (maybe 10-14 points) to push this one over this total. Over the past three seasons, the Chargers are 13-3 to the OVER after a game that went UNDER the total. Take the OVER here.