After so many bad years, the Jacksonville Jaguars have finally built a team that appears to have playoff potential. QB Blake Bortles has cut down on his interceptions. Overall, he has increased his passer rating to 86.4 and the Jags offense has rallied behind those numbers to average a tick below 27 points per game over their last six. Those numbers have not been seen in Jacksonville for quite some time. They are much improved, but at this point have probably reached the overrated status to some extent. It's the opposite for San Diego. The Chargers are 3-5 on the season, but 3-1 in their last four and are fresh off their bye week, and they are defintely better than their record indicates. QB Phillip Rivers seems to save his best games in the role of a road underdog where the Chargers are 23-12 to the OVER in his last 35 in this role, averaging 22.6 ppg. Rivers has better numbers vs. Jacksonville than any other team lately with a passer rating of 120.3 with 19 TDs and just four INTs, and averaging also 9.3 yards per attempt - all elite numbers. San Diego has also averaged 31.3 ppg in the seven tilts. Dating back to 1992, road teams off a road loss are 60% against the number, so play on both San Diego and the OVER in this one.
This pick was released to clients on November 10, 2023 at 12:05PM ET.
NFL
Los Angeles at Jacksonville
November 12, 2017
1:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Los Angeles +4.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 40.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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