This pick was released to clients on January 10, 2025 at 2:19AM ET.
img NFL

Los Angeles at Houston

January 11, 2025
img4:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Houston needed a win to gain momentum heading into the playoffs, and the Texans got it as they topped Tennessee 23-14 in the regular-season finale. Dameon Pierce ran for 176 yards, including a 92-yard run, and C.J. Stroud completed all six of his passes for 50 yards and a touchdown before he was replaced by Davis Mills, who threw for 128 yards. The Texans piled up 207 rushing yards on 7.1 per carry. Houston has gone UNDER six of eight home games, and it is 5-0-1 UNDER after totaling more than 150 yards on the ground in its previous game. The Texans have won 11 of 16 outright against AFC opponents, and they are 10-6-1 UNDER this season. Los Angeles won its final three games, but two were against New England and Las Vegas, a combined 8-26, and both fired their head coaches after the season. Houston's defense will be up to the task, as it ranks in the top 10 in sacks, interceptions, and yards allowed per game. The Texans and Chargers combined allow only 39.6 points per game. Take the Texans on the moneyline and the UNDER.

1 unit on Houston +140 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.4)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Game Total UNDER 42.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Chargers
6
0
0
6
12
Houston Texans img
0
10
10
12
32
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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