Los Angeles at Denver

I picked Denver in week 1 due to Kansas City's lackluster defense and a good situation for Denver. Shanahan preps well and the Broncos are great during the first two weeks of the season. But, as I stated back then. I am not sold on the Ponies and think they'll struggle to win 9 games this year. Plummer still hasn't proven he can be a winner or that he can play mistake free ball in the face of pressure and adversity. This spread is too large. One reason is that San Diego has struggled against Denver on the road. LaDanian Tomlinson has been kept in check by Denver, averaging about 35 yards per game over his past three trips to Denver. This week, however, the Broncos will be without defensive end and four-time Pro Bowler Trevor Pryce. Combined with banged up tackle Luther Elliss, this development bodes well for San Diego's LaDanian Tomlinson. San Diego has surprised this year, winning outright as a big underdog in week one and keeping things close last week against the Jets. They are scoring a very respectable 27.5 points per game. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 that are allowing 24+ points per game and are off a loss of 6 or less are 79% ATS the next week over the past three years. One unit on San Diego to cover the spread and one unit on San Diego to win the game.