This pick was released to clients on November 24, 2023 at 10:54AM ET.
img NFL

Los Angeles at Denver

November 28, 2021
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Los Angeles won the last meeting 19-16 in December, and five of the last seven meetings have stayed UNDER, including that one by 12.5 points. Denver has covered the number three of the last four meetings, and the Broncos currently have gone UNDER their last four games before having last week off. Denver must improve in its red-zone opportunities as it has scored touchdowns on just half of its 34 trips inside the 20-yard line. Teddy Bridgewater has thrown for 2,389 yards with 14 TDs and 5 interceptions, but he has been stifled by defenses close to the goal line. The Chargers come off a thrilling, 41-37, win over Pittsburgh, but they still rank last in the league in rush defense, allowing 145.1 yards per game. They are also #27 in scoring defense, giving up 26.5 points. Los Angeles is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 November games, and Denver is 9-1 ATS after scoring fewer than 15 points in its previous game (15-7-1 ATS after a bye week). The UNDER is 9-0 in the Chargers' last nine games after recording at least 250 passing yards their previous game, and the Broncos are 13-5-1 UNDER versus AFC West teams. Take the Broncos and the UNDER.

1 unit on Denver +3 (-120) (risk 1 to return 1.83)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 48 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Chargers
0
7
0
6
13
Denver Broncos img
7
7
0
14
28
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 409,388 Subscribers!