Los Angeles at Cleveland

The Los Angeles defense has been terrific ranked eighth in yards given up, fifth on third down (32.22%), and No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed (13 per game). Their three losses have been by a total of 19 points. QB Justin Herbert has 8 touchdowns and only one interception for new coach Jim Harbaugh. The offense is ninth on third down and the team has a +6 turnover margin, the fifth-best in the league. The Chargers are on a 4-2-1 ATS run. Cleveland's offense is last in the league on third down (27.68%). QB Jameis Winston has been forced in and played a great game last week, but let's not get carried away: since 2022, he has 10 TDs and 8 interceptions. And in 2019 with New Orleans, he threw a whopping 30 picks! Sloppy Cleveland leads the NFL in penalties along with a minus-4 turnover margin and is on a 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS run. Play Los Angeles.