Los Angeles at Cleveland

The Cleveland Browns are an ugly team - no way around that. Outside of the shootout vs. the Lions, they have gone a full season of NFL games finding the end-zone just six times. That is enough to steer the typical gambler far away from the them. With that said, this inept offense has covered five of their last eight games and getting 13 points against anyone at home is always worth a look. The Chargers are riding high having won six straight and posting back-to-back blowout wins by 29 each. They have two huge games on deck vs. the Cowboys and Bengals, and making the trip across the country in December against an incompetent opponent will likely not motivate this team to pack their "A" game for the trip. The proof lies in the Chargers 2-6 ATS mark in their last eight as a favorite of 10.5 or more as they seem to only play good enough to win in this type of game. The Browns have now covered at a rate of 4-1-1 vs. teams with a winning road record as they rise up, while the good teams realize they have an easy win, and play just well enough to get it. Don't look now but since the return of Brady Quinn to the starting lineup, the Browns are 2-0 ATS. The public is all over the Chargers like they already know the final score, but I'm on the side that has all the value and will back the Browns here.