Los Angeles at Buffalo

The San Diego Chargers opened some eyes with a big home win over Seattle 30-21 last week. This is not something new for a Chargers team that started the season 4-6 and 5-7 a year ago, but came alive down the stretch in large part by the contributions of their defense. San Diego allowed 20 points or more in nine of their first 11 games last season. But, they finished 5-2 they allowed just 17.4 points per game, doing so despite having played both Denver and Cincinnati two times each in the seven games. The jury is still out on a Buffalo team that has started 2-0. They surprised the Bears in their opener in overtime and came home vs. a sleepy Miami team that was off a huge win vs. New England. What I don't think is up for debate is the quality of these two teams: San Diego is better, especially at the all-important QB position. The Chargers also have a strong running game and a much better defense than they get credit for. San Diego has played 11 of their last 13 vs. the AFC Conference to the UNDER while they are also 6-1 to the UNDER in their last seven following a win in their previous game. Each of their last four on the road have also played to the UNDER. The Chargers have been a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six on the road vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bills have struggled off a strong defensive effort having gone 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 14 points or fewer, and just 3-10 ATS off a 14 or more point win. San Diego is for real and Buffalo has yet to prove they are. Play on San Diego and the UNDER in this one.