Los Angeles at Buffalo

The LA Chargers seem like a team that is always right there, but something always goes wrong for them. They opened at home vs. the Kansas City Chiefs, a team breaking in an inexperienced QB, and allowed 38 points. The offense gave a bunch away, and while the Chargers ran 19 more plays, and amassed 541 total yards, to the Chief's 362, they ended up on the short end of a 38-28 score. The Chargers were -2 in turnovers, something that seems to continually plague this team. The Chargers are now 1-13 SU in their last 14 losing the turnover battle. Buffalo could not get anything going in a start to finish romp on the road at Baltimore. They gave up 47 points, and looked horrible, but remember this is the NFL and last week is last week. It is tough to pull the trigger on a team that looked so bad a week ago, but a team that lost their last game by 35 points or more is 83-61-9 ATS in their next game. A team that lost by 44 or more is 15-7-1 ATS including 15-4-1 ATS if it was a road loss. I think Nathan Peterman will be more comfortable at home this week against a Chargers defense that was not very good last week. Philip Rivers has led his Chargers to 33.2 points per game against Buffalo his last six starts against them. Buffalo has eight straight OVERS at home when following an OVER in their last game. September road teams off an upset loss as a home favorite are 40-15 to the OVER the last 10 years. Take Buffalo and the OVER.