Las Vegas at Pittsburgh

The Super Bowl Champion Steelers have had to play this season with a target on their backs. Every team they play brings their "A" game against them and there have been few easy games. In addition to that, they have faced key injuries. Layer on top of that an apparent lack of fire that we saw last season from this team as they seem to be playing like contented champions. The result? A 4-7 ATS record and only three wins by more than 10 points. That makes things most difficult when facing a team like Oakland. The Raiders don't pose much of a threat in the minds of the opponent, and that offers a bundle of points to be very tempting here. The Steelers are a good team, but they have had all kinds of difficulty tackling big numbers to cover. Last season, they were a better team and were asked to cover a spread of 6.5 or more just four times the entire season. The result was 4-0 ATS! This season, facing inflated lines, they are 0-5 ATS trying to cover the same large numbers hung on them. Last year the Steelers were crushing everyone, winning six games by 17 or more points. This year’s biggest win has been by 18, and that is the only game they have won by more than 13 all season. Spreads this high are usually reserved for teams that are playing like the New Orleans Saints or the Indianapolis Colts. Those teams own average margins of victor of 17 and 11 points. In contrast, Pittsburgh is winnning games by an average of just four points per game.  I'll take the inflated spread and grab the Raiders here.