The Las Vegas offense has been overrated by oddsmakers all season at 8-2 UNDER the total. At least the defense has turned things around under the new coaching staff allowing six and 12 points in the last two games moving up to 13th in the NFL in points given up (20.5 per game). They're sticking with young QB Aidan O'Connell (2 TDs, 3 INTs) and he gets little help from a ground game that averages 3.4 yards per carry and ranks 30th in rushing yards. Las Vegas is 41-21 UNDER the total on the road against offenses that average 24+ points. Miami's offense has cooled off after a blistering start averaging 20.6 points over the last three games. Defensively, the Dolphins rank 12th in total yards allowed and 12th on third down (36.84%). Miami is 99-71 UNDER the total as a home favorite and NFL home teams like the Dolphins that allow 24+ points per contest where the total is 42.5 to 49 are 79-41 UNDER the total after scoring 14 or fewer points in the last game. Play Las Vegas/Miami UNDER the total as a Max Play.
This pick was released to clients on November 17, 2023 at 10:45AM ET.
NFL
Las Vegas at Miami
November 19, 2023
1:02 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 48.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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