This pick was released to clients on October 06, 2023 at 12:32PM ET.
img NFL

Las Vegas at Los Angeles

October 7, 2018
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Oakland offense is clicking under new coach Jon Gruden, scoring 20 and 45 points the last two weeks. For the season the Raiders are second in the NFL in total yards, and fourth in passing behind QB Derek Carr. This is a high total and Oakland is on a 9-2 run UNDER, as well as 13-3 UNDER in divisional play. They match up well with a weak L.A. Chargers defense that is #23 in yards allowed, #28 in points (30 points per game). The Chargers are 8-17 ATS when following a victory, as well as a 4-10 ATS run at home. Los Angeles is also overvalued when it comes to totals, 27-11-1 UNDER the total after a win, plus 10-3 UNDER against the AFC. The dog is 15-3 against the spread when these rivals clash, plus the UNDER is 17-5-1 when the Chargers have home field against the Raiders. Play Oakland and the UNDER.

1.5 units on Las Vegas +6 (-115) (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 52.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Las Vegas Raiders
0
3
0
7
10
Los Angeles Chargers img
3
14
3
6
26
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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