img NFL

Las Vegas at Kansas City

September 14, 2008
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Anyone that watched Oakland on Monday Night will cringe at this pick, but that is the point. When the public can't bear to take a team is usually where the value lies in the NFL. The Raiders looked bad in that prime time game - very undisciplined and unprepared. We expect a different team this week as the players look to atone for that embarassment. The Chiefs are already down to their backup QB as Brodie Croyle went down in game one, opening the door for Damon Huard to recapture the starting spot. Chief fans were quickly reminded why Croyle was made the choice over Huard, as Huard threw an interception as one of his 12 pass attempts last week. He made 10 starts for the Chiefs last season and threw for just 11 TDs and had 13 picked off. That is why he is a backup. Now, a Chiefs offense that scored 17 or fewer points in 12 of 16 games last year (and just 10 in their opener) is already facing another uphill battle. The Raiders have done very well at Kansas City as they won there last year. Justin Fargas carried the ball one time in a 2-point loss to the Chiefs at home, but ripped them for 139 in the win at Kansas City. These teams always play close games here, with the largest margin of victory over the last five years just 4 points. Remember last year the Raiders got hammered by the Lions in their opener at home, allowing 36 points. They came back and took Denver to OT in a 3-point loss the following week. This one could go either way with the game in the balance in the 4th quarter, and that makes getting a field goal plus here very appealing. As hard as it is to stomach, we're backing the Raiders on Sunday.

2 units on Las Vegas +3.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
WIN
1
2
3
4
T
Las Vegas Raiders
6
0
7
10
23
Kansas City Chiefs
0
0
0
8
8
odds odds
 
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