This pick was released to clients on January 12, 2024 at 10:18AM ET.
img NFL

Las Vegas at Houston

January 7, 2017
img4:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

You have to feel for Oakland, a team that had not had a winning record since the 2002 season, and then started 12-3 only to see their hopes dashed with the loss of QB Derek Carr. They appeared to be on their way to a bye in the first round before losing their most important cog in Carr. It proceeded to get worse last week as backup Matt McGloin was injured as well. They will now go with third string QB Connor Cook. This is the first time ever an NFL rookie is making his frist start in the playoffs. Last week without Carr, the previously potent Raiders attack did not get in the end-zone in a 24-6 loss at Denver. Houston has some QB issues of their own, and the once benched Brock Osweiler will be at QB for the injured Tom Savage. There is little to hope for offensively in this game, and the biggest edge on the field will be the Houston defense vs. the Raiders offense being led by a #3 QB on the road. Houston has held opponentws to just 16.3 points per game at home this season. There have been some good QBs coming to Houston this season in Alex Smith, Andrew Luck, Marcus Mariota, Matthew Stafford and Phillip Rivers. But, none left with more than 21 points - most far less than that. It is going to be very difficult for the Raiders to find the end-zone, and Houston has managed no more than 27 points in any of their home games his season, but will surely get enough here to move on to the next round. Houston is 14-5 ATS under head coach Bill O'Brien as a favorite. Play Houston and the UNDER.

1.5 units on Houston -3.5 (-102) (risk 1.5 to return 2.97)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 37 -103 (risk 1 to return 1.97)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Las Vegas Raiders
7
0
0
7
14
Houston Texans img
10
10
0
7
27
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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