This pick was released to clients on August 13, 2012 at 10:31PM ET.
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Las Vegas at Denver

September 22, 2003
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Are you ready for some Monday Night Football??
Everything seems to be going Denver’s way and not much is going Oakland’s way. Denver fans and media are watering at the mouth to atone for last year’s dominating sweep by Oakland. Denver, having cruised to easy victories in its first two games, should take advantage of the Monday Night lights and deliver some payback for last year to a struggling Raiders team, right? Not so fast. It was on this field on a Monday night last year when Oakland, off four straight losses handed Denver a 34-10 shellacking as a 5 point underdog. Games between these two clubs are played on a different level. You can throw records away. Denver is winning convincingly which has masked the fact that Jake Plummer looks like his old terrible self. This guy is as mistake-prone as they come. He has thrown more INTs than TDs in his career and has lost more games than he has won. He hasn’t looked good in the preseason or the regular season. Mark my words - He’s going to lose an important game for the Broncos before long and it just might be tonight. Oakland has had the advantage of two close games in which they have had to fight. Denver has cruised to early leads and easy wins against two teams with a combined record of 0-4. I don’t think Denver has really been tested yet. Will Oakland test them? It depends which team shows up. If Oakland is going to show up for any game, it’s this one. On paper it looks like Denver will rout. But as they say, the NFL isn’t played on paper, baby. It’s played in front of a national audience. That’s when big time stars like Jerry Rice and Rich Gannon shine. That’s also where pretenders like Jake Plummer stumble and fall. Take Oakland in the big upset.
**Money-Line Play? YES! Play all dogs money line except those at exactly +3

4 units on Las Vegas +5.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
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