Las Vegas at Denver

Charlie Frye has been on injured reserve all year. Bruce Gradkowski has an injured shoulder while Jason Campbell thinks he tore his meniscus. That means the starting QB for Oakland in this game appears to be Kyle Boller. Those of you who have been with me for a few years know that I was never a fan of Kyle Boller. He's not an NFL starting quarerback. But, I like his team's chances here getting a bucketload of points. With Denver ranked 26th in the league in defense, Boller should find some success. He should have time to throw the ball as Denver, without Elvis Dumervil, has recorded just seven sacks on the season. On top of that, Brian Dawkins is out and Champ Bailey is questionable. The line here gets bumped because of all the losses for Oakland at QB, but the reality is that J.P Losman and JaMarcus Russell won here a year ago as a double-digit dog. And, there's not a huge dropoff between Gradkowski or Campbell and Boller. The Raiders are 4-2 ATS under Cable as division dogs of 7 or more points. The Broncos are failing miserably as a home favorite where they are an unspeakable 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 as home chalk. They are 2-10 ATS the past three seasons when facing a team with a losing record. I like the Raiders plus the points. I also like the OVER here. The Broncos’ can score, but lack of defense has led them to a 10-1 OVER mark in their last 11 games. As a home favorite, this team is on an 80-52 OVER run and a 25-11 OVER run coming off a home loss. The Raiders have covered the last four here and I like them to do the same in this one, in a high-scoring game.