Kansas City at Washington

The Redskins offense has really struggled this season as we know. They have managed just 14.6 points per game through five games. But, it isn't something that has started this season. In their final eight games last year, the Skins managed to top the 20-point mark just once. So this is certainly not just a short-term fluke. In their last 13 games they topped the 20 point mark just one time! That is despite the fact they have played the easiest schedule in the NFL, having faced four teams with a combined record of 2-17! I was on them last week in a spot that proved to be fruitful (getting points against a bad Carolina team). But they are laying points in this one. It is very appealing to look at the other side of this one with a team getting just about a full TD facing a team that can't score, even against the easiest schedule in the league. This will be the Skins sixth straight game facing a team without a win coming into the game. The only two wins among that 2-17 mark of four of their opponents came to Washington, so these teams otherwise are 0-17 against the rest of the league! Despite playing these winless teams, Washington has posted a 1-4 ATS mark. The Redskins are now just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games posted as a favorite. They are also 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. The Chiefs came so close last week, finally losing in OT to a team that was supposed to blow them out. The Chiefs have only faced one team with a losing record all season and that resulted in a game decided by a FG. When a new coach takes over a team as Todd Haley has done in Kansas City, it takes a few games to work out the kinks and get on board. The Chiefs showed last week that they are on the cusp of really improving. The Chiefs, as bad as they have been over the past three seasons, are 8-0 ATS over that span after back-to-back games allowing 25+ points. The Skins can't score, and laying this big of a number presents a lot of value on the other side.