This pick was released to clients on January 28, 2021 at 2:28PM ET.
img NFL

Kansas City at Tampa Bay

February 7, 2021
img6:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bettors tend to shy away from juiced bets. They would much rather risk a little to win a lot. Here's an example of a bet in which the juice offered provides value. How do I know? It's all in the math. In 54 prior Super Bowls, 41 winners scored last. That's a rate of 76%. And, it has gotten even better. In the last 38 Super Bowls, the rate has increased to 84% (32-6). But here's where it gets crazy good? In the last 21 Super Bowls, the team that scored last has won 19 times (91%) including seven straight since Super Bowl XLVII. So, fair odds here are in the range of -315 (based on 76%) to -1000 (91%). To get this bet in at -200 is a gift from the gambling gods. Take the YES on this bet as a Max Play.

2 units on Team to Score Last Wins the Game = YES (risk 2 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas City Chiefs
3
3
3
0
9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers img
7
14
10
0
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 409,392 Subscribers!