This game started with St. Louis favored by 2.5 points and now has them as a home underdog. Home dogs don't come too often in the NFL preseason but when they do they have been gold, especially in the final week of the preseason. Certain dogs in this situation have produced 67% ATS winners including a 6-2 record over the past three seasons. Steve Spagnuolo has won two of his three games and can really get his team confident going into the regular season with another win here. Being at home, he should still be inclined to impress, even if this game is not meaningful. Todd Haley has gone 0-3 and appears not to really care. A win here won't make much of a difference for him. Matt Cassel is completely out with a strained MCL. The Chiefs are 1-10 ATS now in preseason games the past three seasons including 0-6 ATS as a favorite. I like the home dog here.
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