This pick was released to clients on February 09, 2023 at 10:59AM ET.
img NFL

Kansas City vs. Philadelphia

February 12, 2023
img6:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bettors tend to shy away from juiced bets. They would much rather risk a little to win a lot. Here's an example of a bet in which the juice offered provides value. How do I know? It's all in the math. In 56 prior Super Bowls, 43 winners scored last. That's a rate of 77%. And, it has gotten even better. In the last 40 Super Bowls, the rate has increased to 85% (34-6). But here's where it gets crazy good... In the last 23 Super Bowls, the team that scored last has won 21 times (91%) including nine straight since Super Bowl XLVII. So, fair odds here are in the range of -340 (based on 77%) to -1000 (91%). To get this bet in at -200 is a gift from the gambling gods. Take the YES on this bet for a Max Play

2 units on Team to Score Last Wins the Game = YES (risk 2 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas City Chiefs img
7
7
7
17
38
Philadelphia Eagles
7
17
3
8
35
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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