Kansas City vs. Philadelphia

Don't expect a clean game here by both quarterbacks. I know these are elite guys. You don't make it to the Super Bowl without elite quarterback play. Patrick Mahomes has averaged 0.61 interceptions per game in his career and 0.70 this season. Jalen Hurts has averaged 0.42 picks per game in his career and 0.4 this season. But let's not forget that in the Super Bowl, we also see elite defenses. The Eagles notched 17 interceptions this season or 0.89 per game. The Chiefs nabbed 0.58 per game. So we can see why this Over/Under is set at 1.5. But again, the Super Bowl is no ordinary game. It's very rare to see quarterbacks avoid interceptions in this game. In 56 prior games, only twice have we seen a clean game with no picks thrown. There have actually been 20 Super Bowls with three or more picks thrown. The number of times two or more interceptions were thrown is 41 out of 56 (73%) including two last year. On average, 2.3 interceptions get thrown in the Super Bowl. And of course, with more passing in the current game, we see more interceptions than in the early years. The last 22 Super Bowls have seen one or more picks thrown. The rate of seeing 2+ interceptions over the past 48 games is 77% (37-11). So, to get +135 odds on a bet with a three-fourths chance of winning is an absolute gift. Take the OVER on this prop as a Max Play.