Kansas City at Los Angeles

One reason why San Diego has become a contender this season is the vast improvements they have made on the defensive side of the ball. Through 11 games last season they had given up 260 points or 23.6 points per game. Since that point, they have played 13 games and allowed 213 points or 16.4 ppg. They have shaved over a TD per game from their opponents. Since the beginning of last season, no AFC team has held opponents to 17 points or less more times than the Kansas City Chiefs, who have turned the trick 12 times. This is a big divisional game, which are usually played lower scoring with plenty of defensive intensity, as both teams know each others' tendencies well from playing twice a year. The Chiefs own a 35-16-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 52 played on grass, while the Chargers are 13-4 to the UNDER in their last 17 vs. the AFC. And, they are 8-1 UNDER after a high scoring game (an OVER). Finally, Andy Reid-led teams are an amazing 16-4 UNDER when playing with 2+ weeks of rest. Back the UNDER in this one.